Get The View From Bay Street

Professional Speculation. In Action.

For too long, the self-directed investor has been fed a diet of sterile, backward-looking reports. We’re not interested in what already happened. We’re obsessed with the predictive, forward-looking process of speculation.

Sometimes, that process starts with a geological edge — an understanding of the rock that few on the street possess. Other times, it’s about sensing a shift in market sentiment, a narrative taking hold that has nothing to do with geology. Different times call for different measures. We are adaptive.

Our edge comes from a rare fluency. We speak the language of boots-on-the-ground geology, the rigorous modeling of the sell-side, and the high-conviction allocations of the buy-side. The result is a concentrated book of ideas that have survived the scrutiny of a perspective honed over a quarter-century at the table.

This isn't a newsletter. It’s your look over the shoulder at the kind of thinking that conviction – and its returns – are built on.

1804.85%
Verifiable 5-Year Portfolio ROI
73.77%
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)

That Return Isn't The Point.
The Thinking Is.

Most services sell tips. We’re focused on the one thing that truly underpins every multi-bagger return: earned conviction. Because conviction isn't something you can rent; it has to be built. It's what allows you to hold a position through the brutal drawdowns that often precede a major win.

Inside The Circle, you get a peak behind the curtain – at the disciplined thinking that separates informed speculation from a blind gamble.

Read Our Full Story
Malcolm Shaw The Circle

Our Work vs. The Noise

We don’t sell stock picks; we deliver the thinking that goes into them. The result is a concentrated book of high-conviction ideas, each one the product of relentless, first-hand diligence

The Circle's Approach

  • A thesis-driven, long-game mentality
  • Focus on a concentrated book of ideas
  • Post-mortems on all closed positions – wins and losses
  • A real-time apprenticeship in building conviction
  • Access to our moderated community discussion

Typical 'Guru' Services

  • A constant stream of "hot tips"
  • A scattered, unfocused watchlist
  • Cherry-picked results, hidden losses
  • Rented conviction with no foundation
  • No access, no accountability
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